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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+1.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+1.08vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+1.25vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-0.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.96+0.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.22vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59+0.31vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-2.09vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.35-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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3.08Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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4.25George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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3.59Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.28Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.31Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.91William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.31Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 31.6% | 25.1% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 21.2% | 22.2% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.4% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 39.1% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 29.5% | 29.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 39.1% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 63.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.