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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+1.52vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+2.36vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+0.85vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+3.30vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-1.40vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50-3.07vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59+0.30vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.35-1.73vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.06-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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4.36George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.3Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.6Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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2.93Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.3Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.43Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.75William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 31.8% | 25.2% | 19.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 36.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.3% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 21.6% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 36.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 20.1% | 64.4% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 30.8% | 27.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.