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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas-0.03+4.39vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+5.23vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.55+0.88vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.09+1.39vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44+1.04vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.20-1.37vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.49-2.26vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.55-1.56vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-1.83vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.44-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.71-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-1.89-1.96vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-2.49-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.1%1st Place
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7.23Hope College-0.774.7%1st Place
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3.88University of Chicago0.5518.9%1st Place
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5.39Marquette University-0.0910.8%1st Place
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6.04Michigan State University-0.448.0%1st Place
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4.63Indiana University0.2013.2%1st Place
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4.74Purdue University-0.4914.1%1st Place
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6.44Northwestern University-0.558.2%1st Place
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7.17Washington University-0.805.4%1st Place
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9.15Northwestern University-1.442.4%1st Place
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9.63University of Michigan-1.711.8%1st Place
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10.04University of Wisconsin-1.891.5%1st Place
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11.28Lake Forest College-2.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| James Leavitt | 18.9% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sunny Sun | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 18.9% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.