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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+5.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+3.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+7.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+5.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.79vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.06+6.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+1.45vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63+0.58vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.91vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.30vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-1.43vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.72-4.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.25vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.94-7.80vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.58-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.61College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.16Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.83SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.57Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 18.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 21.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Max Lopez | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.