Race 1B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Roger Dorr 22.7% 21.7% 17.8% 16.7% 11.5% 7.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 8.1% 10.5% 11.7% 17.6% 18.5% 21.1% 9.9% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 28.3% 23.2% 18.0% 14.5% 10.5% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 5.7% 12.2% 40.2% 23.8% 7.5% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 7.2% 9.4% 12.3% 12.6% 14.4% 24.8% 14.6% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 12.6% 13.2% 18.3% 15.4% 19.4% 13.9% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 18.4% 18.4% 17.0% 17.0% 16.7% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 12.5% 32.9% 46.9% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.5% 12.1% 34.4% 44.9% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 5.7% 12.2% 40.2% 23.8% 7.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.