Race 2B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Roger Dorr 23.7% 19.1% 20.0% 16.0% 11.4% 7.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 25.9% 23.5% 18.0% 16.3% 10.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.3% 7.0% 9.8% 13.0% 17.2% 27.1% 15.5% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.1% 12.5% 13.5% 15.3% 21.8% 18.0% 7.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 13.2% 16.8% 15.1% 16.5% 17.1% 13.7% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 17.9% 17.6% 18.6% 18.6% 14.9% 10.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 12.4% 41.3% 25.2% 7.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 12.4% 41.3% 25.2% 7.5% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 3.6% 11.8% 33.6% 46.7% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.4% 3.2% 13.3% 33.8% 45.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.