Race 3B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dreugh Phillips 18.7% 15.9% 18.8% 17.9% 14.5% 9.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 7.5% 11.0% 13.4% 16.2% 18.7% 21.2% 9.8% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 22.5% 20.6% 18.2% 16.0% 14.6% 6.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 29.7% 24.7% 17.6% 14.5% 8.3% 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.2% 10.8% 11.9% 12.5% 15.3% 25.4% 13.7% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 12.3% 14.2% 15.4% 17.6% 20.1% 14.6% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 11.0% 42.1% 25.1% 7.4% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 3.2% 12.0% 32.9% 46.9% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 3.6% 11.8% 34.4% 45.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 11.0% 42.1% 25.1% 7.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.