Race 4B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dane Byerly 29.3% 22.6% 18.8% 15.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 14.1% 18.2% 18.6% 18.6% 14.9% 11.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.1% 10.0% 13.5% 16.6% 19.6% 19.7% 8.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 23.7% 22.1% 18.2% 17.0% 10.9% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 13.3% 16.1% 16.0% 15.2% 17.8% 14.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 7.3% 7.3% 10.0% 11.6% 20.4% 25.7% 14.5% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.3% 10.1% 41.9% 25.5% 7.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.3% 10.1% 41.9% 25.5% 7.5% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 3.8% 11.5% 33.2% 46.8% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 3.4% 12.2% 34.3% 45.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.