Race 5B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Roger Dorr 22.4% 20.7% 19.0% 17.5% 11.8% 6.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 9.5% 13.2% 16.1% 19.2% 19.4% 14.0% 6.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 18.3% 17.3% 16.8% 17.7% 15.2% 11.9% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 30.6% 24.2% 19.0% 12.7% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.3% 13.1% 14.7% 14.6% 17.9% 18.9% 8.0% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.9% 11.5% 40.7% 25.2% 7.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.9% 11.5% 40.7% 25.2% 7.5% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.2% 8.3% 10.0% 11.6% 18.4% 27.7% 13.7% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% 3.6% 11.4% 33.2% 47.2% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 13.6% 33.5% 45.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.