← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.71+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.98+7.07vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.58+7.83vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.92+1.25vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.08+3.37vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.63+4.36vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.72+2.94vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.24vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.89+0.23vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.00+3.13vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.64-0.53vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.32vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University3.30-1.43vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-5.36vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.06-2.40vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.18vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.94-7.87vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University4.50-11.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.07Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
10.83Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
-
5.25Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
8.37Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.36Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
-
9.94Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
-
9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
9.23Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
-
13.13SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.47College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
11.57Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
12.6Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
-
10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
-
9.13U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
-
6.5Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 23.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 18.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Max Lopez | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.