Race 6B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Derek Poon Tip 13.2% 13.5% 14.9% 17.2% 18.4% 15.3% 6.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 19.0% 21.9% 16.7% 21.2% 12.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 28.6% 22.6% 19.1% 14.6% 10.3% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 19.4% 17.2% 19.8% 15.6% 14.9% 10.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.4% 12.5% 14.9% 14.5% 19.4% 18.0% 7.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.6% 8.5% 10.0% 11.7% 17.2% 28.1% 14.8% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 4.5% 10.9% 42.6% 25.2% 7.2% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 3.9% 12.1% 34.5% 44.2% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 11.8% 32.7% 48.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 4.5% 10.9% 42.6% 25.2% 7.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.