Race 7B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dane Byerly 28.9% 23.1% 18.1% 14.8% 9.2% 4.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 20.6% 20.2% 20.2% 16.9% 11.8% 7.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.4% 12.5% 12.8% 14.8% 19.3% 19.6% 9.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 13.7% 15.0% 15.6% 16.5% 18.9% 13.4% 6.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 5.1% 5.5% 11.8% 38.4% 24.5% 8.4% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 7.2% 8.2% 8.8% 13.0% 17.4% 26.6% 15.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 17.5% 18.0% 19.5% 16.4% 15.8% 9.0% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 4.0% 11.6% 36.1% 43.6% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 5.1% 5.5% 11.8% 38.4% 24.5% 8.4% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 3.1% 12.0% 33.3% 47.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.