Race 8B

south-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luca Taglialegne 10.6% 11.6% 12.0% 17.7% 19.6% 19.2% 7.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 23.7% 24.3% 20.4% 16.7% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 12.7% 13.3% 14.7% 17.0% 18.9% 16.9% 5.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 24.3% 21.1% 19.2% 16.6% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 19.3% 20.2% 17.1% 15.2% 14.4% 9.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 5.8% 11.0% 40.8% 25.5% 7.4% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.8% 6.6% 10.8% 12.1% 17.6% 27.4% 14.9% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 5.8% 11.0% 40.8% 25.5% 7.4% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.7% 0.4% 1.3% 0.9% 1.5% 3.8% 12.1% 34.3% 45.0% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 12.4% 33.2% 47.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.