Race 9B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Roger Dorr 22.4% 22.0% 16.3% 17.9% 12.4% 7.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 7.6% 9.4% 13.9% 17.5% 20.9% 18.6% 9.5% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 17.5% 18.8% 18.6% 15.1% 15.7% 10.9% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 7.2% 7.9% 11.7% 13.4% 16.5% 26.4% 13.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 13.8% 15.1% 16.5% 15.6% 16.4% 14.4% 7.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.7% 5.7% 10.9% 40.9% 25.1% 7.6% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 28.1% 23.8% 19.2% 14.3% 9.2% 4.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.7% 5.7% 10.9% 40.9% 25.1% 7.6% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 3.4% 11.8% 33.3% 47.1% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 3.6% 11.8% 34.4% 44.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.