Race 10B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Derek Poon Tip 13.4% 13.1% 15.3% 18.2% 18.1% 15.3% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 4.8% 10.7% 41.8% 25.7% 9.5% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 16.1% 18.0% 19.5% 16.9% 15.1% 10.8% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.3% 11.4% 13.9% 16.9% 19.7% 20.3% 6.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 23.6% 23.5% 16.7% 15.5% 13.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 28.2% 23.5% 21.3% 13.7% 8.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 13.9% 17.4% 27.6% 13.9% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.3% 13.2% 33.0% 45.7% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 4.8% 10.7% 41.8% 25.7% 9.5% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 12.8% 35.2% 44.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.