Race 11B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dane Byerly 29.3% 21.6% 18.6% 16.6% 7.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 14.9% 18.2% 17.7% 19.6% 14.9% 10.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 22.8% 20.3% 18.8% 16.8% 13.4% 6.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.8% 12.4% 12.3% 16.6% 19.1% 19.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 12.6% 17.3% 16.4% 14.2% 18.3% 13.9% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 6.9% 6.7% 11.0% 11.9% 18.5% 26.9% 14.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 5.0% 10.9% 42.0% 25.3% 7.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 5.0% 10.9% 42.0% 25.3% 7.5% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 4.0% 11.7% 33.1% 46.8% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 0.6% 1.6% 3.1% 12.6% 34.3% 45.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.