Race 12B

south-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dane Byerly 29.2% 22.5% 20.2% 14.4% 8.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 4.8% 6.5% 9.7% 14.3% 17.5% 26.5% 15.5% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Derek Poon Tip 12.2% 13.7% 14.3% 17.1% 20.1% 15.4% 5.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 23.0% 22.3% 19.0% 16.2% 11.8% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 18.9% 20.7% 17.8% 14.8% 14.6% 10.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.4% 10.8% 14.7% 16.7% 20.7% 18.6% 7.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 11.4% 42.1% 24.8% 7.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 11.4% 42.1% 24.8% 7.5% 0.0%
Nina Willms 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 3.6% 12.7% 32.6% 46.7% 0.0%
Ryan Dorsey 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 3.7% 11.8% 34.0% 45.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.