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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.38vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.20vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50+7.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+4.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.26vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.13+0.59vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.58vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-5.50vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-7.94vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-0.47vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-1.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.33vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.59Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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14.53University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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14.22Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alec Chicoine | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| William Logue | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 31.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 27.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Max Thompson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.