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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.00+10.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+5.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+5.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.94+3.04vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.58+3.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.79vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.72+0.95vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.92-5.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.84vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.19vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.00vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.63-4.72vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.50-9.19vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.06-4.21vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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13.16SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.95Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ted Green | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 21.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Mac Mace | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Max Lopez | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 20.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.