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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+6.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+3.98vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+3.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.56+7.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+1.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08+2.71vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-3.55vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.01vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.71-3.17vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-8.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.22-7.11vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.50-5.07vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-3.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.98SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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14.2University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.8Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.94Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 26.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% |
| William Logue | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.3% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 23.2% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.