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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+8.14vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+7.26vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+7.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-3.07vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.91vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.56+2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.22-6.34vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.50-4.18vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.13-7.56vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-3.08vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.26Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.01SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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14.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.92Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 25.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 29.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alec Chicoine | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 21.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.