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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.51vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+2.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50+4.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-1.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-0.66vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56+1.38vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.13-5.60vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.71-5.59vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-2.69vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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14.38University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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14.31Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| William Logue | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 31.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 29.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.