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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+7.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+8.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.28vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+2.48vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.56+7.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71+0.67vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08+1.89vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.16vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.50-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.25vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.39-7.43vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-1.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.28vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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14.49University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.84SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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14.19Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 33.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Alec Chicoine | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| William Logue | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 27.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.