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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.91vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53+0.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.45+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.74vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.32-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.58+1.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-0.52vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-6.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.27vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.82-3.52vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.95-1.85vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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10.65George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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15.15SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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13.75Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shane Riera | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| Devin Keister | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% |
| Alexander Ellis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 38.9% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.