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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+8.16vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+10.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+6.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+2.68vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+2.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.92-1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.94+0.95vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.72+0.91vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64+0.55vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+2.00vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.27vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.89-5.09vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.58-4.50vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.71-10.03vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-5.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.06Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.55College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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13.0SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.5Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Lopez | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Mac Mace | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 22.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.