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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+7.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+2.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.12+0.34vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+2.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.45+0.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-3.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.48vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.95+1.97vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-0.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-2.36vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.82-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-3.60vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-10.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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14.97SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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13.63Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Shane Riera | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Ellis | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 37.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| Devin Keister | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.