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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+5.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+4.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.56vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95-0.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.45+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.58+2.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-4.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-0.50vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.32-3.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-6.09vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.95-0.86vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.82-4.43vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.22Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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15.14SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.79Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Devin Keister | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Shane Riera | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Ellis | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 37.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.