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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+5.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+7.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.47vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+7.25vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+0.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.95+6.95vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-2.04vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.57vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.45-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.58+0.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.57vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.95-8.00vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.37-2.93vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.12-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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14.95SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.38Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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14.07Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shane Riera | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Ellis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 37.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.0% |
| Devin Keister | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 20.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.