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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+5.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+6.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+4.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.95vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.45+0.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+1.95vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82+0.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.69-0.16vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.12-6.80vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-7.55vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-8.26vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-3.41vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.39Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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12.84SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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13.89Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Shane Riera | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Devin Keister | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 13.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.