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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.77vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+2.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+3.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19-0.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.86vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.58+2.18vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.45-1.89vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.82-2.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.80vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.95-1.90vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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12.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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15.1SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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13.59Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shane Riera | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Devin Keister | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Ellis | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 38.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.