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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.27vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+3.53vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+6.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+3.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82+3.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+3.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.45-0.51vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.63vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-4.85vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.58-0.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-6.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.72vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.90vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.37-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.53Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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12.8University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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13.41Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Shane Riera | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Devin Keister | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Kahler | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.