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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.83vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.46vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+3.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.19+1.63vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.37+7.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.65vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.45-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.82-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.12-6.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-2.88vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.59vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.71Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.52Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.95George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.41SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 14.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 28.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Shane Riera | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Devin Keister | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.5% |
| Hunter Kahler | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.