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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+9.49vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+4.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.32vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.00+6.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-1.03vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.92-3.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72+0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.94-1.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-2.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-2.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.56vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.30-3.24vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.58-5.38vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.06-4.24vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.89-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.49College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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12.9SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.24Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.62Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 20.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Max Lopez | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 18.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.