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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.64+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.11+4.48vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.45+1.85vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.81+1.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.47-0.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.77-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-1.14-2.44vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.89-1.35vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.68-2.95vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.92-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Boston University0.6435.1%1st Place
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6.48University of New Hampshire-1.116.6%1st Place
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4.85Bentley University-0.4510.7%1st Place
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5.78McGill University-0.817.0%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University-0.4711.3%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.778.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.534.7%1st Place
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8.41Bates College-1.842.7%1st Place
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6.56University of Vermont-1.145.5%1st Place
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8.65Brandeis University-1.892.3%1st Place
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8.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.683.5%1st Place
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8.62Middlebury College-1.922.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 35.1% | 24.3% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| John O'Connell | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Pierre Offredi | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| David Phipps | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Angelina Papa | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 19.6% |
| Cameron Luck | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Miles Laker | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.7% |
| Henry Donahue | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% |
| Weronika Wozny | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.