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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+10.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+4.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+5.27vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+9.84vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+4.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+3.20vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02+4.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+1.04vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.72+3.66vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-1.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05+0.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.78vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-3.77vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-0.73vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-0.85vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.34vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-9.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.54vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-4.22vs Predicted
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20Boston University3.24-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.84George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.74Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.66Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.34Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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14.15Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.54Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 22.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.