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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+7.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+7.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+11.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+4.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+4.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+3.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+3.70vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+2.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.17vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.49+3.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-2.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60+1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-1.56vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.09-7.47vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-3.35vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-3.30vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.24-2.24vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.53-8.88vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.56-10.12vs Predicted
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20Hampton University3.02-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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14.23Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.96Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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13.83George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.56Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.47Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 21.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.