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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+6.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+7.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+3.79vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+0.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+1.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+4.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+2.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.50-2.18vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-1.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-4.62vs Predicted
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143.77-6.26vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-4.22vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.49-2.84vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-6.25vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.72-5.84vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.560.0%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.17Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.36Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.743.770.1%1st Place
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10.78Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.16George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.75Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Will La Dow | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Edmund Cooper | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.