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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+7.04vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+8.06vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+8.33vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+2.99vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.76vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+3.84vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-0.63vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-1.42vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.43vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-2.79vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-3.31vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.68vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-6.26vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.49-2.88vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-4.29vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-4.39vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.06Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.84Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.69Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.12George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.61Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Will La Dow | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.