← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bentley University-0.45+3.77vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.64+0.52vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-1.11+3.47vs Predicted
-
4Brandeis University-1.89+4.52vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.77+0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+1.84vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-1.84+1.52vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.81-2.35vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.92-0.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-1.14-3.43vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University-0.47-6.01vs Predicted
-
12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.68-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77Bentley University-0.4511.7%1st Place
-
2.52Boston University0.6435.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of New Hampshire-1.115.6%1st Place
-
8.52Brandeis University-1.892.4%1st Place
-
5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.779.3%1st Place
-
7.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.533.0%1st Place
-
8.52Bates College-1.842.4%1st Place
-
5.65McGill University-0.818.4%1st Place
-
8.51Middlebury College-1.922.4%1st Place
-
6.57University of Vermont-1.146.4%1st Place
-
4.99Northeastern University-0.479.6%1st Place
-
8.08Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.683.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Connell | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 35.1% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Miles Laker | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| David Phipps | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Pierre Offredi | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Weronika Wozny | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 20.2% |
| Cameron Luck | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Henry Donahue | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.