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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+8.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+2.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.50+0.74vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.94+0.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.06+3.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.79vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.58-0.32vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.28vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-3.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.63-4.01vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.13vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-7.62vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.58College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.79Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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12.87SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Tedd Himler | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Max Lopez | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 20.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.