← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.53+7.72vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.78vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.13vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.56+4.55vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.49+8.50vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.74+1.80vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University3.02+4.02vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.77-0.03vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.72+2.99vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.39+3.51vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.73-3.20vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.39vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.48-4.35vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston4.09-7.54vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.05-4.36vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.24-6.21vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.24-2.94vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University3.50-9.29vs Predicted
-
19Northeastern University2.60-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.72Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.55Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
13.5George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.8Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.02Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
7.97Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.99Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.51Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.8Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
8.65Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.46College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
10.64Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.79Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
14.06University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.71Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
12.33Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
| Will La Dow | 10.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 25.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.