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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.72vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+6.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+10.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.79vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.72+5.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.39vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.98vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.49+3.13vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-0.17vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-0.71vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-5.49vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-5.34vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.43vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-6.23vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-8.07vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-3.86vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.60-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.63Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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13.13George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.83Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.29Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.14University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Will La Dow | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 23.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.