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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.71vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+10.33vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.91vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+4.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+1.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+2.85vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+0.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.49+5.40vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-1.34vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-1.59vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+0.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-0.77vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-2.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.84vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.74-7.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-6.21vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-4.30vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-4.38vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.85Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.4George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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11.23Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.68Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.62Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.