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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+5.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.69vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+2.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+1.66vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+2.97vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-2.22vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-4.14vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-2.38vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.72-3.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.91-4.74vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.39-3.49vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-5.41vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.97Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.62Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.28George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.97Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.26Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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13.51Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Edmund Cooper | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Will La Dow | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Josh Dochoda | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.