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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+9.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+6.64vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+9.26vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.24vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+3.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+7.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.38vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-1.40vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05+0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-2.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-3.15vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-5.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.89vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.77-7.47vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.49-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.24-2.99vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.91-6.79vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.60-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.9Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.26Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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13.33Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.64Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.07George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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11.21Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 18.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Will La Dow | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 22.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.