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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+8.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+11.56vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+8.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.51vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.80vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+2.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.18vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74-0.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-2.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-1.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-3.10vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-5.52vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.24-1.09vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-3.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.91-5.66vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.49-4.92vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.05-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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13.56Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.01Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.97Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.88Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.06Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.34Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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13.08George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.26Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 17.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Will La Dow | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 23.8% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.