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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+8.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+11.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+7.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+4.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+3.01vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+2.49vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02+4.01vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05+1.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-2.35vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.49+2.16vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.24+0.96vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-6.23vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-6.44vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-3.82vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-9.32vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-6.87vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.60-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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13.67Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.01Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.65Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.65Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.16George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.34Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 22.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.