← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.72vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+9.26vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.12vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.77+3.62vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.39+8.92vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.09+0.36vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.56+1.58vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.72+4.52vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University3.02+1.71vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-1.21vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.05-0.23vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.53-3.02vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.74-5.46vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.49-0.64vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.73-7.31vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.60-3.29vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.50-8.26vs Predicted
-
18Boston University3.24-8.18vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
13.92Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
6.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
8.58Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
12.52Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
10.71Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
8.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.77Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.54Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
13.36George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.69Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.71Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.74Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.82Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.8University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 20.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.