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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.34vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+3.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+4.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50+1.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-1.53vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-2.31vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.49+2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-2.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.39-0.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.08vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-3.86vs Predicted
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17Hampton University3.02-6.13vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-5.29vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.24-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.34College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.560.0%1st Place
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10.69Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.2George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.23Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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13.72Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.87Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Will La Dow | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.