← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.93+5.28vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+6.70vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.89+7.94vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.75+2.99vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.17+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.71+1.18vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.87vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.78+3.06vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.19+0.34vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.76+1.49vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University2.26+2.75vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.81vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.82-1.46vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.97-3.59vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.92-4.32vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.31-2.56vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.79-5.91vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-6.16vs Predicted
-
19Eckerd College2.82-7.87vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin1.51-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.28Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.7Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.94Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
6.99College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
9.52Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.06George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
-
9.34Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.49University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
13.75Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
11.54Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.41Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.68Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
13.44Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.09Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
11.13Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
16.55University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam White | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Shane Riera | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.