Race 7B

sherman-hoyt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Hoffmann 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 10.9% 11.7% 15.6% 12.9%
Ted Green 2.7% 2.6% 3.9% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 9.6% 12.1% 13.6% 25.9%
Austen Anderson 5.4% 7.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 9.2% 8.1% 7.0% 3.4%
Eric Decesar 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.4% 11.2% 15.8% 22.6%
Oliver Toole 6.2% 5.4% 6.9% 8.0% 6.9% 7.7% 6.4% 8.4% 11.6% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% 6.4%
Johnny Norfleet 7.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 8.4% 9.4% 10.1% 8.2% 6.3% 9.5% 6.2% 4.9%
Edward Glackin 6.0% 6.2% 4.6% 6.3% 6.0% 5.8% 7.6% 9.8% 8.4% 9.4% 11.2% 10.5% 8.2%
Colin Smith 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.4% 8.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.2%
William Haeger 8.7% 6.7% 10.2% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 8.7% 9.2% 7.2% 4.8% 5.8% 3.2%
Mac Mace 6.2% 5.3% 4.2% 7.0% 8.7% 7.5% 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 8.7%
Tedd Himler 12.7% 13.2% 13.7% 11.7% 10.4% 10.0% 8.0% 5.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Alec Anderson 13.8% 14.5% 12.8% 12.3% 10.7% 9.4% 8.7% 5.2% 5.1% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Taylor Canfield 17.6% 17.5% 14.4% 12.0% 10.9% 7.8% 7.1% 5.3% 3.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.