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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University-0.45+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.11+4.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.64-0.50vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.81+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.14+0.51vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.84+1.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.47-3.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.77-3.29vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.68-1.97vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.92-2.36vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.89-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Bentley University-0.4510.8%1st Place
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6.52University of New Hampshire-1.115.4%1st Place
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2.5Boston University0.6436.5%1st Place
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5.71McGill University-0.817.3%1st Place
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7.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.534.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Vermont-1.146.2%1st Place
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8.46Bates College-1.842.9%1st Place
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4.88Northeastern University-0.4710.4%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.777.1%1st Place
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8.03Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.683.0%1st Place
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8.64Middlebury College-1.923.4%1st Place
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8.49Brandeis University-1.892.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Connell | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan OBrien | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Buck Rathbun | 36.5% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Cameron Luck | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| David Phipps | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Henry Donahue | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
| Weronika Wozny | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 22.0% |
| Miles Laker | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.