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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+8.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+8.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.88vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+5.52vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.75+1.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+5.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+0.40vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-1.91vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76+1.47vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82+0.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.06vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-2.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-3.33vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-2.37vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-6.46vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-4.39vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.51-2.60vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.78-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.43Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.36Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.25Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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13.63Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.61Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Augie Dale | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Shane Riera | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 39.9% |
| Sam White | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.