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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+10.45vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+11.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+6.59vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+6.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+4.49vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+2.85vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35+0.48vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.75-2.19vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.89+0.86vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.78+0.44vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-5.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31+0.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-2.33vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-3.76vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-8.90vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.51-0.62vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.92vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.82-7.88vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.82-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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13.69Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.85Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.44George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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11.24Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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16.38University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Augie Dale | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Sam White | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Shane Riera | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 39.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.